Correlation Between Citizens Bancorp and National Capital

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Citizens Bancorp and National Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Citizens Bancorp and National Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Citizens Bancorp Investment and National Capital Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Citizens Bancorp and National Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Citizens Bancorp with a short position of National Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Citizens Bancorp and National Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Citizens Bancorp and National Capital

0.07

Correlation Coefficient

Citizens Bancorp  National Capital

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Citizens and National is 0.07. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Citizens Bancorp Investment and National Capital Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Capital Bank and Citizens Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Citizens Bancorp Investment are associated (or correlated) with National Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Capital Bank has no effect on the direction of Citizens Bancorp i.e., Citizens Bancorp and National Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Citizens Bancorp and National Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citizens Bancorp is expected to generate 3.18 times less return on investment than National Capital. In addition to that, Citizens Bancorp is 1.06 times more volatile than National Capital Bank. It trades about 0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. National Capital Bank is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  5,682  in National Capital Bank on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,318  from holding National Capital Bank or generate 23.2% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	98.41%
Values	Daily Returns

Citizens Bancorp Investment  vs.  National Capital Bank

Citizens Bancorp Inv

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Citizens Bancorp Investment are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Citizens Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

National Capital Bank

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Capital Bank are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental indicators, National Capital sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Citizens Bancorp and National Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Citizens Bancorp and National Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Citizens Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, National Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Capital will offset losses from the drop in National Capital's long position.

The idea behind Citizens Bancorp Investment and National Capital Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.