Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of Heartland Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial

0.32

Correlation Coefficient

Commerce Bancshares  Heartland Financial

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and Heartland is 0.32. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heartland Financial USA and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Heartland Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heartland Financial USA has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to under-perform the Heartland Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Commerce Bancshares is 1.15 times less risky than Heartland Financial. The stock trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Heartland Financial USA is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,106  in Heartland Financial USA on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  361.00  from holding Heartland Financial USA or generate 5.91% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	37.1%
Values	Daily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  Heartland Financial USA

Commerce Bancshares

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Commerce Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Heartland Financial USA

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Over the last 90 days Heartland Financial USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly weak essential indicators, Heartland Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Heartland Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heartland Financial will offset losses from the drop in Heartland Financial's long position.

The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and Heartland Financial USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.