Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu Dairy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of China Mengniu. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu

-0.11
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and China is -0.11. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu Dairy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Mengniu Dairy and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with China Mengniu. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Mengniu Dairy has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to generate 0.55 times more return on investment than China Mengniu. However, Commerce Bancshares is 1.8 times less risky than China Mengniu. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. China Mengniu Dairy is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  5,894  in Commerce Bancshares on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  382.00  from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 6.48% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  China Mengniu Dairy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
China Mengniu Dairy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Mengniu Dairy are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating fundamental indicators, China Mengniu showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, China Mengniu can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Mengniu will offset losses from the drop in China Mengniu's long position.
The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and China Mengniu Dairy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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