Correlation Between Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Capital Financial Indonesia and Smartfren Telecom Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Capital Financial with a short position of Smartfren Telecom. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom.

Diversification Opportunities for Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom

-0.04
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Capital and Smartfren is -0.04. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Capital Financial Indonesia and Smartfren Telecom Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Smartfren Telecom Tbk and Capital Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Capital Financial Indonesia are associated (or correlated) with Smartfren Telecom. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Smartfren Telecom Tbk has no effect on the direction of Capital Financial i.e., Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Financial Indonesia is expected to generate 0.77 times more return on investment than Smartfren Telecom. However, Capital Financial Indonesia is 1.3 times less risky than Smartfren Telecom. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Smartfren Telecom Tbk is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  52,000  in Capital Financial Indonesia on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  22,500  from holding Capital Financial Indonesia or generate 43.27% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Capital Financial Indonesia  vs.  Smartfren Telecom Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Capital Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Capital Financial Indonesia are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, Capital Financial disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Smartfren Telecom Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Smartfren Telecom Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom

The main advantage of trading using opposite Capital Financial and Smartfren Telecom positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Capital Financial position performs unexpectedly, Smartfren Telecom can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Smartfren Telecom will offset losses from the drop in Smartfren Telecom's long position.
The idea behind Capital Financial Indonesia and Smartfren Telecom Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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