Correlation Between ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ConAgra Foods with a short position of JM Smucker. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker.

Diversification Opportunities for ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker

0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ConAgra and SJM is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on JM Smucker and ConAgra Foods is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ConAgra Foods are associated (or correlated) with JM Smucker. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of JM Smucker has no effect on the direction of ConAgra Foods i.e., ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ConAgra Foods is expected to under-perform the JM Smucker. In addition to that, ConAgra Foods is 1.12 times more volatile than JM Smucker. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. JM Smucker is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  11,758  in JM Smucker on September 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  21.00  from holding JM Smucker or generate 0.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ConAgra Foods  vs.  JM Smucker

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ConAgra Foods 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days ConAgra Foods has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
JM Smucker 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days JM Smucker has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy forward-looking indicators, JM Smucker is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker

The main advantage of trading using opposite ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ConAgra Foods position performs unexpectedly, JM Smucker can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in JM Smucker will offset losses from the drop in JM Smucker's long position.
The idea behind ConAgra Foods and JM Smucker pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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