Correlation Between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Byline Bancorp with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Byline and Commerce is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Byline Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Byline Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Byline Bancorp i.e., Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Byline Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Commerce Bancshares. In addition to that, Byline Bancorp is 1.07 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,225  in Commerce Bancshares on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (63.00) from holding Commerce Bancshares or give up 1.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Byline Bancorp  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Byline Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Byline Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Commerce Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Byline Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Byline Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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