Correlation Between British Amer and Harmony Gold

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both British Amer and Harmony Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining British Amer and Harmony Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between British American Tobacco and Harmony Gold Mining, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on British Amer and Harmony Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in British Amer with a short position of Harmony Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of British Amer and Harmony Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for British Amer and Harmony Gold

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between British and Harmony is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding British American Tobacco and Harmony Gold Mining in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Harmony Gold Mining and British Amer is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on British American Tobacco are associated (or correlated) with Harmony Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Harmony Gold Mining has no effect on the direction of British Amer i.e., British Amer and Harmony Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between British Amer and Harmony Gold

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon British Amer is expected to generate 3.92 times less return on investment than Harmony Gold. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, British American Tobacco is 1.69 times less risky than Harmony Gold. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Harmony Gold Mining is currently generating about 0.27 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,540,700  in Harmony Gold Mining on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  832,100  from holding Harmony Gold Mining or generate 54.01% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

British American Tobacco  vs.  Harmony Gold Mining

 Performance 
       Timeline  
British American Tobacco 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in British American Tobacco are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, British Amer may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Harmony Gold Mining 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Harmony Gold Mining are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Harmony Gold exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

British Amer and Harmony Gold Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with British Amer and Harmony Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite British Amer and Harmony Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if British Amer position performs unexpectedly, Harmony Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Harmony Gold will offset losses from the drop in Harmony Gold's long position.
The idea behind British American Tobacco and Harmony Gold Mining pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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