Correlation Between Bitcoin and Us Government

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bitcoin and Us Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bitcoin and Us Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bitcoin and Us Government Securities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bitcoin and Us Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bitcoin with a short position of Us Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bitcoin and Us Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Bitcoin and Us Government

-0.77

Correlation Coefficient

Bitcoin  Us Government

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Bitcoin and RGVAX is -0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bitcoin and Us Government Securities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Us Government Securities and Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bitcoin are associated (or correlated) with Us Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Us Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Bitcoin i.e., Bitcoin and Us Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bitcoin and Us Government

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the Us Government. In addition to that, Bitcoin is 7.53 times more volatile than Us Government Securities. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Us Government Securities is currently generating about 0.17 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,154  in Us Government Securities on December 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  38.00  from holding Us Government Securities or generate 3.29% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	93.75%
Values	Daily Returns

Bitcoin  vs.  Us Government Securities

Bitcoin

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Bitcoin shareholders.

Us Government Securities

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Us Government Securities are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Us Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Bitcoin and Us Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bitcoin and Us Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, Us Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Us Government will offset losses from the drop in Us Government's long position.

The idea behind Bitcoin and Us Government Securities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..