Correlation Between Popular and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Popular and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Popular and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Popular and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Popular and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Popular with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Popular and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Popular and Home Federal

0.05
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Popular and Home is 0.05. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Popular and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Popular is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Popular are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Popular i.e., Popular and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Popular and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Popular is expected to generate 863.27 times less return on investment than Home Federal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Popular is 54.7 times less risky than Home Federal. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,250  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Home Federal Bancorp or give up 1.12% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy90.63%
ValuesDaily Returns

Popular  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Popular 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Popular has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Popular is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Popular and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Popular and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Popular and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Popular position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind Popular and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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