Correlation Between Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR MSCI USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of SPDR MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and SPDR is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR MSCI USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR MSCI USA and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Bond are associated (or correlated) with SPDR MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR MSCI USA has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Total is expected to generate 5.13 times less return on investment than SPDR MSCI. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Total Bond is 1.68 times less risky than SPDR MSCI. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR MSCI USA is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,848  in SPDR MSCI USA on December 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,003  from holding SPDR MSCI USA or generate 46.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Bond  vs.  SPDR MSCI USA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Total Bond are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
SPDR MSCI USA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SPDR MSCI USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, SPDR MSCI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and SPDR MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, SPDR MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR MSCI will offset losses from the drop in SPDR MSCI's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Bond and SPDR MSCI USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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