Correlation Between Blackbaud and Appfolio

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Blackbaud and Appfolio at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Blackbaud and Appfolio into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Blackbaud and Appfolio, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Blackbaud and Appfolio and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Blackbaud with a short position of Appfolio. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Blackbaud and Appfolio.

Diversification Opportunities for Blackbaud and Appfolio

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Blackbaud and Appfolio is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Blackbaud and Appfolio in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Appfolio and Blackbaud is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Blackbaud are associated (or correlated) with Appfolio. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Appfolio has no effect on the direction of Blackbaud i.e., Blackbaud and Appfolio go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Blackbaud and Appfolio

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackbaud is expected to under-perform the Appfolio. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Blackbaud is 1.05 times less risky than Appfolio. The stock trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Appfolio is currently generating about -0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  24,723  in Appfolio on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (2,593) from holding Appfolio or give up 10.49% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Blackbaud  vs.  Appfolio

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Blackbaud 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Blackbaud has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Appfolio 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Appfolio has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Blackbaud and Appfolio Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Blackbaud and Appfolio

The main advantage of trading using opposite Blackbaud and Appfolio positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Blackbaud position performs unexpectedly, Appfolio can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Appfolio will offset losses from the drop in Appfolio's long position.
The idea behind Blackbaud and Appfolio pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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