Correlation Between Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Volatility Shares Trust and Vanguard Large Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Volatility Shares with a short position of Vanguard Large. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large.

Diversification Opportunities for Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Volatility and Vanguard is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Volatility Shares Trust and Vanguard Large Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Large Cap and Volatility Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Volatility Shares Trust are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Large. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Large Cap has no effect on the direction of Volatility Shares i.e., Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volatility Shares Trust is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Large. In addition to that, Volatility Shares is 5.75 times more volatile than Vanguard Large Cap Index. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Large Cap Index is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  26,985  in Vanguard Large Cap Index on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,438) from holding Vanguard Large Cap Index or give up 5.33% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Volatility Shares Trust  vs.  Vanguard Large Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Volatility Shares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Volatility Shares Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors.
Vanguard Large Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Large Cap Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Vanguard Large is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large

The main advantage of trading using opposite Volatility Shares and Vanguard Large positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Volatility Shares position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Large can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Large will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Large's long position.
The idea behind Volatility Shares Trust and Vanguard Large Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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