Correlation Between Biogen and Novartis

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Biogen and Novartis at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Biogen and Novartis into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Biogen Inc and Novartis AG ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Biogen and Novartis and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Biogen with a short position of Novartis. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Biogen and Novartis.

Diversification Opportunities for Biogen and Novartis

-0.48
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Biogen and Novartis is -0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Biogen Inc and Novartis AG ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Novartis AG ADR and Biogen is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Biogen Inc are associated (or correlated) with Novartis. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Novartis AG ADR has no effect on the direction of Biogen i.e., Biogen and Novartis go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Biogen and Novartis

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Biogen Inc is expected to under-perform the Novartis. In addition to that, Biogen is 1.27 times more volatile than Novartis AG ADR. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Novartis AG ADR is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,498  in Novartis AG ADR on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,540  from holding Novartis AG ADR or generate 16.21% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Biogen Inc  vs.  Novartis AG ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Biogen Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Biogen Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's forward indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
Novartis AG ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Novartis AG ADR are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Novartis unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Biogen and Novartis Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Biogen and Novartis

The main advantage of trading using opposite Biogen and Novartis positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Biogen position performs unexpectedly, Novartis can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Novartis will offset losses from the drop in Novartis' long position.
The idea behind Biogen Inc and Novartis AG ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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