Correlation Between BHP and Vale SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BHP and Vale SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BHP and Vale SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between BHP Group and Vale SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BHP and Vale SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BHP with a short position of Vale SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BHP and Vale SA.

Diversification Opportunities for BHP and Vale SA

-0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between BHP and Vale is -0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BHP Group and Vale SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vale SA and BHP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BHP Group are associated (or correlated) with Vale SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vale SA has no effect on the direction of BHP i.e., BHP and Vale SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BHP and Vale SA

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BHP Group is expected to under-perform the Vale SA. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, BHP Group is 2.15 times less risky than Vale SA. The stock trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vale SA is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  18,079  in Vale SA on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,221  from holding Vale SA or generate 12.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

BHP Group  vs.  Vale SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
BHP Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days BHP Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
Vale SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vale SA are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak primary indicators, Vale SA displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

BHP and Vale SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with BHP and Vale SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite BHP and Vale SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BHP position performs unexpectedly, Vale SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vale SA will offset losses from the drop in Vale SA's long position.
The idea behind BHP Group and Vale SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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