Correlation Between Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Biglari Holdings with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty

0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Biglari and Ulta is 0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and Biglari Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Biglari Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of Biglari Holdings i.e., Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Biglari Holdings is expected to under-perform the Ulta Beauty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Biglari Holdings is 1.09 times less risky than Ulta Beauty. The stock trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ulta Beauty is currently generating about -0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  43,540  in Ulta Beauty on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (6,506) from holding Ulta Beauty or give up 14.94% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Biglari Holdings  vs.  Ulta Beauty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Biglari Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Biglari Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ulta Beauty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Biglari Holdings position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.
The idea behind Biglari Holdings and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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