Correlation Between Global Gold and Emerging Markets

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Global Gold and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Global Gold and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Global Gold Fund and Emerging Markets Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Global Gold and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Global Gold with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Global Gold and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Global Gold and Emerging Markets

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

Global Gold  Emerging Markets

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Global and Emerging is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Global Gold Fund and Emerging Markets Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets and Global Gold is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Global Gold Fund are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets has no effect on the direction of Global Gold i.e., Global Gold and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Global Gold and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Gold Fund is expected to under-perform the Emerging Markets. In addition to that, Global Gold is 2.66 times more volatile than Emerging Markets Fund. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Fund is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,128  in Emerging Markets Fund on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Emerging Markets Fund or give up 0.8% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Global Gold Fund  vs.  Emerging Markets Fund

Global Gold Fund

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Global Gold Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Emerging Markets

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Global Gold and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Global Gold and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Global Gold position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.

The idea behind Global Gold Fund and Emerging Markets Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.