Correlation Between Business First and Community Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Business First and Community Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Business First and Community Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Business First Bancshares and Community Bank System, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Business First and Community Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Business First with a short position of Community Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Business First and Community Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Business First and Community Bank

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Business and Community is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Business First Bancshares and Community Bank System in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Community Bank System and Business First is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Business First Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Community Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Community Bank System has no effect on the direction of Business First i.e., Business First and Community Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Business First and Community Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Business First Bancshares is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than Community Bank. However, Business First is 1.22 times more volatile than Community Bank System. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Community Bank System is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,560  in Business First Bancshares on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (112.00) from holding Business First Bancshares or give up 4.37% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Business First Bancshares  vs.  Community Bank System

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Business First Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Business First Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Business First is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
Community Bank System 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Community Bank System has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Business First and Community Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Business First and Community Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Business First and Community Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Business First position performs unexpectedly, Community Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Community Bank will offset losses from the drop in Community Bank's long position.
The idea behind Business First Bancshares and Community Bank System pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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