Correlation Between BDO Unibank and First Philippine

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both BDO Unibank and First Philippine at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining BDO Unibank and First Philippine into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between BDO Unibank and First Philippine Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on BDO Unibank and First Philippine and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in BDO Unibank with a short position of First Philippine. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of BDO Unibank and First Philippine.

Diversification Opportunities for BDO Unibank and First Philippine

-0.54
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between BDO and First is -0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BDO Unibank and First Philippine Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Philippine Holdings and BDO Unibank is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on BDO Unibank are associated (or correlated) with First Philippine. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Philippine Holdings has no effect on the direction of BDO Unibank i.e., BDO Unibank and First Philippine go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between BDO Unibank and First Philippine

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BDO Unibank is expected to generate 1.9 times more return on investment than First Philippine. However, BDO Unibank is 1.9 times more volatile than First Philippine Holdings. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Philippine Holdings is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  14,358  in BDO Unibank on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,042  from holding BDO Unibank or generate 7.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

BDO Unibank  vs.  First Philippine Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
BDO Unibank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BDO Unibank are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, BDO Unibank may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
First Philippine Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Philippine Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, First Philippine is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

BDO Unibank and First Philippine Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with BDO Unibank and First Philippine

The main advantage of trading using opposite BDO Unibank and First Philippine positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if BDO Unibank position performs unexpectedly, First Philippine can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Philippine will offset losses from the drop in First Philippine's long position.
The idea behind BDO Unibank and First Philippine Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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