Correlation Between Bank Negara and Sumber Tani

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bank Negara and Sumber Tani at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bank Negara and Sumber Tani into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bank Negara Indonesia and Sumber Tani Agung, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bank Negara and Sumber Tani and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bank Negara with a short position of Sumber Tani. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bank Negara and Sumber Tani.

Diversification Opportunities for Bank Negara and Sumber Tani

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bank and Sumber is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bank Negara Indonesia and Sumber Tani Agung in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Sumber Tani Agung and Bank Negara is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bank Negara Indonesia are associated (or correlated) with Sumber Tani. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Sumber Tani Agung has no effect on the direction of Bank Negara i.e., Bank Negara and Sumber Tani go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bank Negara and Sumber Tani

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Negara Indonesia is expected to under-perform the Sumber Tani. In addition to that, Bank Negara is 1.6 times more volatile than Sumber Tani Agung. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Sumber Tani Agung is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  91,500  in Sumber Tani Agung on October 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9,500) from holding Sumber Tani Agung or give up 10.38% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bank Negara Indonesia  vs.  Sumber Tani Agung

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bank Negara Indonesia 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bank Negara Indonesia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Sumber Tani Agung 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Sumber Tani Agung has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Bank Negara and Sumber Tani Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bank Negara and Sumber Tani

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bank Negara and Sumber Tani positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bank Negara position performs unexpectedly, Sumber Tani can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sumber Tani will offset losses from the drop in Sumber Tani's long position.
The idea behind Bank Negara Indonesia and Sumber Tani Agung pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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