Correlation Between Banco Bradesco and China Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Banco Bradesco and China Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Banco Bradesco and China Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Banco Bradesco SA and China Merchants Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Banco Bradesco and China Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Banco Bradesco with a short position of China Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Banco Bradesco and China Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Banco Bradesco and China Merchants

0.27
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Banco and China is 0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Banco Bradesco SA and China Merchants Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on China Merchants Bank and Banco Bradesco is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Banco Bradesco SA are associated (or correlated) with China Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of China Merchants Bank has no effect on the direction of Banco Bradesco i.e., Banco Bradesco and China Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Banco Bradesco and China Merchants

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Banco Bradesco SA is expected to under-perform the China Merchants. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Banco Bradesco SA is 1.12 times less risky than China Merchants. The stock trades about -0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The China Merchants Bank is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,440  in China Merchants Bank on October 15, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (26.00) from holding China Merchants Bank or give up 1.07% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Banco Bradesco SA  vs.  China Merchants Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Banco Bradesco SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Banco Bradesco SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
China Merchants Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days China Merchants Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong forward-looking signals, China Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Banco Bradesco and China Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Banco Bradesco and China Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Banco Bradesco and China Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Banco Bradesco position performs unexpectedly, China Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Merchants will offset losses from the drop in China Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Banco Bradesco SA and China Merchants Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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