Correlation Between American Axle and PACCAR

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Axle and PACCAR at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Axle and PACCAR into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Axle Manufacturing and PACCAR Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Axle and PACCAR and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Axle with a short position of PACCAR. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Axle and PACCAR.

Diversification Opportunities for American Axle and PACCAR

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and PACCAR is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Axle Manufacturing and PACCAR Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PACCAR Inc and American Axle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Axle Manufacturing are associated (or correlated) with PACCAR. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PACCAR Inc has no effect on the direction of American Axle i.e., American Axle and PACCAR go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Axle and PACCAR

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Axle Manufacturing is expected to under-perform the PACCAR. In addition to that, American Axle is 1.74 times more volatile than PACCAR Inc. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. PACCAR Inc is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,230  in PACCAR Inc on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,521  from holding PACCAR Inc or generate 72.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Axle Manufacturing  vs.  PACCAR Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Axle Manufa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Over the last 90 days American Axle Manufacturing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, American Axle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
PACCAR Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PACCAR Inc are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively abnormal basic indicators, PACCAR may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

American Axle and PACCAR Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Axle and PACCAR

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Axle and PACCAR positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Axle position performs unexpectedly, PACCAR can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PACCAR will offset losses from the drop in PACCAR's long position.
The idea behind American Axle Manufacturing and PACCAR Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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