Correlation Between Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Valneva SE ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Avadel Pharmaceuticals with a short position of Valneva SE. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE.

Diversification Opportunities for Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE

0.79
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Avadel and Valneva is 0.79. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Valneva SE ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Valneva SE ADR and Avadel Pharmaceuticals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC are associated (or correlated) with Valneva SE. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Valneva SE ADR has no effect on the direction of Avadel Pharmaceuticals i.e., Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC is expected to generate 1.03 times more return on investment than Valneva SE. However, Avadel Pharmaceuticals is 1.03 times more volatile than Valneva SE ADR. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Valneva SE ADR is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,534  in Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC on October 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (483.00) from holding Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC or give up 31.49% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC  vs.  Valneva SE ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Avadel Pharmaceuticals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Valneva SE ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Valneva SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE

The main advantage of trading using opposite Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Avadel Pharmaceuticals position performs unexpectedly, Valneva SE can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valneva SE will offset losses from the drop in Valneva SE's long position.
The idea behind Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Valneva SE ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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