Correlation Between Ultra Fund and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Fund and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Fund and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Fund R6 and First Trust New, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Fund and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Fund with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Fund and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Fund and First Trust

0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and First is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Fund R6 and First Trust New in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust New and Ultra Fund is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Fund R6 are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust New has no effect on the direction of Ultra Fund i.e., Ultra Fund and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Fund and First Trust

If you would invest  9,958  in Ultra Fund R6 on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  374.00  from holding Ultra Fund R6 or generate 3.76% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy4.76%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Fund R6  vs.  First Trust New

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Fund R6 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund R6 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Ultra Fund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
First Trust New 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Trust New has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Ultra Fund and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Fund and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Fund and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Fund position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Fund R6 and First Trust New pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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