Correlation Between ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARMOUR Residential REIT and MFA Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARMOUR Residential with a short position of MFA Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial

0.73

Correlation Coefficient

ARMOUR Residential  MFA Financial

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARMOUR and MFA is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARMOUR Residential REIT and MFA Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MFA Financial and ARMOUR Residential is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT are associated (or correlated) with MFA Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MFA Financial has no effect on the direction of ARMOUR Residential i.e., ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARMOUR Residential REIT is expected to under-perform the MFA Financial. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ARMOUR Residential REIT is 1.33 times less risky than MFA Financial. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The MFA Financial is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,016  in MFA Financial on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  65.00  from holding MFA Financial or generate 6.4% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ARMOUR Residential REIT  vs.  MFA Financial

ARMOUR Residential REIT

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

Over the last 90 days ARMOUR Residential REIT has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

MFA Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MFA Financial are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak technical and fundamental indicators, MFA Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARMOUR Residential and MFA Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARMOUR Residential position performs unexpectedly, MFA Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MFA Financial will offset losses from the drop in MFA Financial's long position.

The idea behind ARMOUR Residential REIT and MFA Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.