Correlation Between ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARMOUR Residential REIT and Arbor Realty Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARMOUR Residential with a short position of Arbor Realty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty.

Diversification Opportunities for ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty

-0.49

Correlation Coefficient

ARMOUR Residential  Arbor Realty

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARMOUR and Arbor is -0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARMOUR Residential REIT and Arbor Realty Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arbor Realty Trust and ARMOUR Residential is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT are associated (or correlated) with Arbor Realty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arbor Realty Trust has no effect on the direction of ARMOUR Residential i.e., ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARMOUR Residential REIT is expected to generate 0.95 times more return on investment than Arbor Realty. However, ARMOUR Residential REIT is 1.05 times less risky than Arbor Realty. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Arbor Realty Trust is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,072  in ARMOUR Residential REIT on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  114.00  from holding ARMOUR Residential REIT or generate 5.5% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ARMOUR Residential REIT  vs.  Arbor Realty Trust

ARMOUR Residential REIT

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARMOUR Residential REIT are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Arbor Realty Trust

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Arbor Realty Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Arbor Realty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARMOUR Residential and Arbor Realty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARMOUR Residential position performs unexpectedly, Arbor Realty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arbor Realty will offset losses from the drop in Arbor Realty's long position.

The idea behind ARMOUR Residential REIT and Arbor Realty Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.