Correlation Between Ameresco and Comfort Systems

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ameresco and Comfort Systems at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ameresco and Comfort Systems into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ameresco and Comfort Systems USA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ameresco and Comfort Systems and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ameresco with a short position of Comfort Systems. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ameresco and Comfort Systems.

Diversification Opportunities for Ameresco and Comfort Systems

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ameresco and Comfort is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ameresco and Comfort Systems USA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Comfort Systems USA and Ameresco is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ameresco are associated (or correlated) with Comfort Systems. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Comfort Systems USA has no effect on the direction of Ameresco i.e., Ameresco and Comfort Systems go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ameresco and Comfort Systems

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ameresco is expected to under-perform the Comfort Systems. In addition to that, Ameresco is 1.41 times more volatile than Comfort Systems USA. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Comfort Systems USA is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  42,876  in Comfort Systems USA on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (10,465) from holding Comfort Systems USA or give up 24.41% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ameresco  vs.  Comfort Systems USA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ameresco 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ameresco has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Comfort Systems USA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Comfort Systems USA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Ameresco and Comfort Systems Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ameresco and Comfort Systems

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ameresco and Comfort Systems positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ameresco position performs unexpectedly, Comfort Systems can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Comfort Systems will offset losses from the drop in Comfort Systems' long position.
The idea behind Ameresco and Comfort Systems USA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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