Correlation Between Amgen and Otsuka Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Amgen and Otsuka Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Amgen and Otsuka Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Amgen Inc and Otsuka Holdings Co, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Amgen and Otsuka Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Amgen with a short position of Otsuka Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Amgen and Otsuka Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for Amgen and Otsuka Holdings

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Amgen and Otsuka is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Amgen Inc and Otsuka Holdings Co in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Otsuka Holdings and Amgen is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Amgen Inc are associated (or correlated) with Otsuka Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Otsuka Holdings has no effect on the direction of Amgen i.e., Amgen and Otsuka Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Amgen and Otsuka Holdings

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amgen Inc is expected to generate 0.91 times more return on investment than Otsuka Holdings. However, Amgen Inc is 1.09 times less risky than Otsuka Holdings. It trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Otsuka Holdings Co is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  29,400  in Amgen Inc on October 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,839) from holding Amgen Inc or give up 6.26% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy97.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Amgen Inc  vs.  Otsuka Holdings Co

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Amgen Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Amgen Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Otsuka Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Otsuka Holdings Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Amgen and Otsuka Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Amgen and Otsuka Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite Amgen and Otsuka Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Amgen position performs unexpectedly, Otsuka Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Otsuka Holdings will offset losses from the drop in Otsuka Holdings' long position.
The idea behind Amgen Inc and Otsuka Holdings Co pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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