Correlation Between Aluminum Futures and Sugar

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Aluminum Futures and Sugar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Aluminum Futures and Sugar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Aluminum Futures and Sugar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Aluminum Futures and Sugar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Aluminum Futures with a short position of Sugar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Aluminum Futures and Sugar.

Diversification Opportunities for Aluminum Futures and Sugar

-0.11
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Aluminum and Sugar is -0.11. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Aluminum Futures and Sugar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Sugar and Aluminum Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Aluminum Futures are associated (or correlated) with Sugar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Sugar has no effect on the direction of Aluminum Futures i.e., Aluminum Futures and Sugar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Aluminum Futures and Sugar

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aluminum Futures is expected to generate 0.64 times more return on investment than Sugar. However, Aluminum Futures is 1.57 times less risky than Sugar. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Sugar is currently generating about -0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  255,900  in Aluminum Futures on December 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  250.00  from holding Aluminum Futures or generate 0.1% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.46%
ValuesDaily Returns

Aluminum Futures  vs.  Sugar

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Aluminum Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aluminum Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, Aluminum Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Sugar 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Sugar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for Sugar investors.

Aluminum Futures and Sugar Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Aluminum Futures and Sugar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Aluminum Futures and Sugar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Aluminum Futures position performs unexpectedly, Sugar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sugar will offset losses from the drop in Sugar's long position.
The idea behind Aluminum Futures and Sugar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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