Correlation Between AGL Energy and NRG Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AGL Energy and NRG Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AGL Energy and NRG Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AGL Energy and NRG Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AGL Energy and NRG Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AGL Energy with a short position of NRG Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AGL Energy and NRG Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for AGL Energy and NRG Energy

0.48
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between AGL and NRG is 0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AGL Energy and NRG Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NRG Energy and AGL Energy is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AGL Energy are associated (or correlated) with NRG Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NRG Energy has no effect on the direction of AGL Energy i.e., AGL Energy and NRG Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AGL Energy and NRG Energy

Assuming the 90 days horizon AGL Energy is expected to under-perform the NRG Energy. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, AGL Energy is 1.5 times less risky than NRG Energy. The pink sheet trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NRG Energy is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  9,244  in NRG Energy on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  493.00  from holding NRG Energy or generate 5.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

AGL Energy  vs.  NRG Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AGL Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AGL Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, AGL Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
NRG Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in NRG Energy are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, NRG Energy may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

AGL Energy and NRG Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AGL Energy and NRG Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite AGL Energy and NRG Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AGL Energy position performs unexpectedly, NRG Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NRG Energy will offset losses from the drop in NRG Energy's long position.
The idea behind AGL Energy and NRG Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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