Correlation Between AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and Univest Pennsylvania, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AmTrust Financial with a short position of Univest Pennsylvania. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania.

Diversification Opportunities for AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between AmTrust and Univest is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and Univest Pennsylvania in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Univest Pennsylvania and AmTrust Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AmTrust Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Univest Pennsylvania. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Univest Pennsylvania has no effect on the direction of AmTrust Financial i.e., AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania

Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial Services is expected to generate 2.13 times more return on investment than Univest Pennsylvania. However, AmTrust Financial is 2.13 times more volatile than Univest Pennsylvania. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Univest Pennsylvania is currently generating about -0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,451  in AmTrust Financial Services on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (66.00) from holding AmTrust Financial Services or give up 4.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

AmTrust Financial Services  vs.  Univest Pennsylvania

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AmTrust Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Over the last 90 days AmTrust Financial Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, AmTrust Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Univest Pennsylvania 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Univest Pennsylvania are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile basic indicators, Univest Pennsylvania may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania

The main advantage of trading using opposite AmTrust Financial and Univest Pennsylvania positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, Univest Pennsylvania can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Univest Pennsylvania will offset losses from the drop in Univest Pennsylvania's long position.
The idea behind AmTrust Financial Services and Univest Pennsylvania pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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