Correlation Between AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and The Peoples Insurance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AmTrust Financial with a short position of Peoples Insurance. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance.

Diversification Opportunities for AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance

-0.51
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between AmTrust and Peoples is -0.51. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and The Peoples Insurance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Peoples Insurance and AmTrust Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AmTrust Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Peoples Insurance. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Peoples Insurance has no effect on the direction of AmTrust Financial i.e., AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance

Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial Services is expected to under-perform the Peoples Insurance. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, AmTrust Financial Services is 2.66 times less risky than Peoples Insurance. The pink sheet trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The The Peoples Insurance is currently generating about 0.21 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  29.00  in The Peoples Insurance on September 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding The Peoples Insurance or generate 24.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy90.91%
ValuesDaily Returns

AmTrust Financial Services  vs.  The Peoples Insurance

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AmTrust Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days AmTrust Financial Services has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, AmTrust Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Peoples Insurance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Peoples Insurance are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating basic indicators, Peoples Insurance reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance

The main advantage of trading using opposite AmTrust Financial and Peoples Insurance positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, Peoples Insurance can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Peoples Insurance will offset losses from the drop in Peoples Insurance's long position.
The idea behind AmTrust Financial Services and The Peoples Insurance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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