Correlation Between American Eagle and CF Industries

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Eagle and CF Industries at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Eagle and CF Industries into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Eagle Outfitters and CF Industries Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Eagle and CF Industries and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Eagle with a short position of CF Industries. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Eagle and CF Industries.

Diversification Opportunities for American Eagle and CF Industries

-0.18

Correlation Coefficient

American Eagle  CF Industries

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and C4F is -0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Eagle Outfitters and CF Industries Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CF Industries Holdings and American Eagle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Eagle Outfitters are associated (or correlated) with CF Industries. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CF Industries Holdings has no effect on the direction of American Eagle i.e., American Eagle and CF Industries go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Eagle and CF Industries

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Eagle Outfitters is expected to under-perform the CF Industries. In addition to that, American Eagle is 1.92 times more volatile than CF Industries Holdings. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. CF Industries Holdings is currently generating about 0.18 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  7,085  in CF Industries Holdings on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,321  from holding CF Industries Holdings or generate 18.65% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

American Eagle Outfitters  vs.  CF Industries Holdings

American Eagle Outfitters

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days American Eagle Outfitters has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, American Eagle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

CF Industries Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, CF Industries reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with American Eagle and CF Industries

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Eagle and CF Industries positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, CF Industries can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CF Industries will offset losses from the drop in CF Industries' long position.

The idea behind American Eagle Outfitters and CF Industries Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.