Correlation Between Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ares Commercial Real and Arbor Realty Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ares Commercial with a short position of Arbor Realty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty.

Diversification Opportunities for Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ares and Arbor is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ares Commercial Real and Arbor Realty Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arbor Realty Trust and Ares Commercial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ares Commercial Real are associated (or correlated) with Arbor Realty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arbor Realty Trust has no effect on the direction of Ares Commercial i.e., Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ares Commercial Real is expected to under-perform the Arbor Realty. In addition to that, Ares Commercial is 1.22 times more volatile than Arbor Realty Trust. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Arbor Realty Trust is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,414  in Arbor Realty Trust on December 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (216.00) from holding Arbor Realty Trust or give up 15.28% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ares Commercial Real  vs.  Arbor Realty Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ares Commercial Real 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ares Commercial Real has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Arbor Realty Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arbor Realty Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ares Commercial and Arbor Realty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ares Commercial position performs unexpectedly, Arbor Realty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arbor Realty will offset losses from the drop in Arbor Realty's long position.
The idea behind Ares Commercial Real and Arbor Realty Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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