Correlation Between Ambev SA and Heineken

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ambev SA and Heineken at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ambev SA and Heineken into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ambev SA ADR and Heineken NV, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ambev SA and Heineken and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ambev SA with a short position of Heineken. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ambev SA and Heineken.

Diversification Opportunities for Ambev SA and Heineken

0.82
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ambev and Heineken is 0.82. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ambev SA ADR and Heineken NV in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heineken NV and Ambev SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ambev SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Heineken. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heineken NV has no effect on the direction of Ambev SA i.e., Ambev SA and Heineken go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ambev SA and Heineken

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambev SA ADR is expected to generate 0.75 times more return on investment than Heineken. However, Ambev SA ADR is 1.34 times less risky than Heineken. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heineken NV is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  183.00  in Ambev SA ADR on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  45.00  from holding Ambev SA ADR or generate 24.59% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ambev SA ADR  vs.  Heineken NV

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ambev SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ambev SA ADR are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Ambev SA showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Heineken NV 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heineken NV are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile forward-looking signals, Heineken reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ambev SA and Heineken Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ambev SA and Heineken

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ambev SA and Heineken positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ambev SA position performs unexpectedly, Heineken can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heineken will offset losses from the drop in Heineken's long position.
The idea behind Ambev SA ADR and Heineken NV pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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