Correlation Between Ambev SA and National Beverage

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ambev SA and National Beverage at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ambev SA and National Beverage into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ambev SA ADR and National Beverage Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ambev SA and National Beverage and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ambev SA with a short position of National Beverage. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ambev SA and National Beverage.

Diversification Opportunities for Ambev SA and National Beverage

-0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ambev and National is -0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ambev SA ADR and National Beverage Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Beverage Corp and Ambev SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ambev SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with National Beverage. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Beverage Corp has no effect on the direction of Ambev SA i.e., Ambev SA and National Beverage go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ambev SA and National Beverage

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ambev SA ADR is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than National Beverage. However, Ambev SA is 1.33 times more volatile than National Beverage Corp. It trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Beverage Corp is currently generating about -0.31 per unit of risk. If you would invest  203.00  in Ambev SA ADR on September 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Ambev SA ADR or give up 6.9% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ambev SA ADR  vs.  National Beverage Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ambev SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ambev SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors.
National Beverage Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days National Beverage Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, National Beverage is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ambev SA and National Beverage Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ambev SA and National Beverage

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ambev SA and National Beverage positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ambev SA position performs unexpectedly, National Beverage can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Beverage will offset losses from the drop in National Beverage's long position.
The idea behind Ambev SA ADR and National Beverage Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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