Correlation Between NMI Holdings and Direct Line

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NMI Holdings and Direct Line at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NMI Holdings and Direct Line into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between NMI Holdings and Direct Line Insurance, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NMI Holdings and Direct Line and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NMI Holdings with a short position of Direct Line. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NMI Holdings and Direct Line.

Diversification Opportunities for NMI Holdings and Direct Line

-0.48

Correlation Coefficient

NMI Holdings  Direct Line

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between NMI and Direct is -0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NMI Holdings and Direct Line Insurance in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direct Line Insurance and NMI Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NMI Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Direct Line. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direct Line Insurance has no effect on the direction of NMI Holdings i.e., NMI Holdings and Direct Line go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NMI Holdings and Direct Line

Assuming the 90 days horizon NMI Holdings is expected to under-perform the Direct Line. In addition to that, NMI Holdings is 1.56 times more volatile than Direct Line Insurance. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Direct Line Insurance is currently generating about 0.16 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  305.00  in Direct Line Insurance on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  32.00  from holding Direct Line Insurance or generate 10.49% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

NMI Holdings  vs.  Direct Line Insurance

NMI Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days NMI Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, NMI Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Direct Line Insurance

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Direct Line Insurance are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain essential indicators, Direct Line may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with NMI Holdings and Direct Line

The main advantage of trading using opposite NMI Holdings and Direct Line positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NMI Holdings position performs unexpectedly, Direct Line can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direct Line will offset losses from the drop in Direct Line's long position.

The idea behind NMI Holdings and Direct Line Insurance pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.