Correlation Between Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Philip Morris International and Japan Tobacco, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Philip Morris with a short position of Japan Tobacco. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco.

Diversification Opportunities for Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco

-0.16
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Philip and Japan is -0.16. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Philip Morris International and Japan Tobacco in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Japan Tobacco and Philip Morris is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Philip Morris International are associated (or correlated) with Japan Tobacco. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Japan Tobacco has no effect on the direction of Philip Morris i.e., Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Philip Morris International is expected to under-perform the Japan Tobacco. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Philip Morris International is 1.55 times less risky than Japan Tobacco. The stock trades about -0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Japan Tobacco is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,557  in Japan Tobacco on September 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (18.00) from holding Japan Tobacco or give up 0.7% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Philip Morris International  vs.  Japan Tobacco

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Philip Morris Intern 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Philip Morris International are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Philip Morris may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Japan Tobacco 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Japan Tobacco has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Japan Tobacco is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco

The main advantage of trading using opposite Philip Morris and Japan Tobacco positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Philip Morris position performs unexpectedly, Japan Tobacco can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Japan Tobacco will offset losses from the drop in Japan Tobacco's long position.
The idea behind Philip Morris International and Japan Tobacco pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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