Correlation Between Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ulta Beauty with a short position of OReilly Automotive. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive.

Diversification Opportunities for Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive

UltaOReillyDiversified AwayUltaOReillyDiversified Away100%
0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ulta and OReilly is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on OReilly Automotive and Ulta Beauty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ulta Beauty are associated (or correlated) with OReilly Automotive. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of OReilly Automotive has no effect on the direction of Ulta Beauty i.e., Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ulta Beauty is expected to generate 1.87 times more return on investment than OReilly Automotive. However, Ulta Beauty is 1.87 times more volatile than OReilly Automotive. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. OReilly Automotive is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  33,500  in Ulta Beauty on October 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,550  from holding Ulta Beauty or generate 19.55% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ulta Beauty  vs.  OReilly Automotive

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15OctNovDec 0510152025
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1534U OM6
       Timeline  
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, Ulta Beauty reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15NovDecJanDecJan320340360380400420
OReilly Automotive 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in OReilly Automotive are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, OReilly Automotive may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15NovDecJanDecJan1,0501,1001,1501,200

Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-7.77-5.82-3.87-1.920.01.974.046.118.1810.25 0.050.100.150.20
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1534U OM6
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ulta Beauty position performs unexpectedly, OReilly Automotive can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in OReilly Automotive will offset losses from the drop in OReilly Automotive's long position.
The idea behind Ulta Beauty and OReilly Automotive pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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