Correlation Between Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cincinnati Financial Corp and Synchrony Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cincinnati Financial with a short position of Synchrony Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial

0.85

Correlation Coefficient

Cincinnati Financial  Synchrony Financial

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cincinnati and Synchrony is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cincinnati Financial Corp and Synchrony Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Synchrony Financial and Cincinnati Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cincinnati Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Synchrony Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Synchrony Financial has no effect on the direction of Cincinnati Financial i.e., Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cincinnati Financial is expected to generate 1.8 times less return on investment than Synchrony Financial. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Cincinnati Financial Corp is 1.48 times less risky than Synchrony Financial. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Synchrony Financial is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,499  in Synchrony Financial on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,977  from holding Synchrony Financial or generate 85.08% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	98.5%
Values	Daily Returns

Cincinnati Financial Corp  vs.  Synchrony Financial

Cincinnati Financial Corp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial Corp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Synchrony Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Synchrony Financial are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Synchrony Financial unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cincinnati Financial and Synchrony Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cincinnati Financial position performs unexpectedly, Synchrony Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Synchrony Financial will offset losses from the drop in Synchrony Financial's long position.

The idea behind Cincinnati Financial Corp and Synchrony Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.