Correlation Between Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Alliance Data Systems and Cincinnati Financial Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Alliance Data with a short position of Cincinnati Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial

0.66

Correlation Coefficient

Alliance Data  Cincinnati Financial

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Alliance and Cincinnati is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Alliance Data Systems and Cincinnati Financial Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cincinnati Financial Corp and Alliance Data is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Alliance Data Systems are associated (or correlated) with Cincinnati Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cincinnati Financial Corp has no effect on the direction of Alliance Data i.e., Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alliance Data Systems is expected to generate 1.89 times more return on investment than Cincinnati Financial. However, Alliance Data is 1.89 times more volatile than Cincinnati Financial Corp. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cincinnati Financial Corp is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,954  in Alliance Data Systems on October 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,300  from holding Alliance Data Systems or generate 26.24% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	96.77%
Values	Daily Returns

Alliance Data Systems  vs.  Cincinnati Financial Corp

Alliance Data Systems

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alliance Data Systems are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Alliance Data unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Cincinnati Financial Corp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial Corp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Pair Trading with Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Alliance Data and Cincinnati Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Alliance Data position performs unexpectedly, Cincinnati Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cincinnati Financial will offset losses from the drop in Cincinnati Financial's long position.

The idea behind Alliance Data Systems and Cincinnati Financial Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.