ZJK Industrial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZJK Stock   7.32  0.46  5.91%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZJK Industrial Co, on the next trading day is expected to be 2.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.93. ZJK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for ZJK Industrial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ZJK Industrial Co, value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ZJK Industrial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZJK Industrial Co, on the next trading day is expected to be 2.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZJK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZJK Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZJK Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

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ZJK Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZJK Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZJK Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.07 and 24.31, respectively. We have considered ZJK Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.32
2.58
Expected Value
24.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZJK Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZJK Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8556
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8488
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1194
SAESum of the absolute errors50.9295
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ZJK Industrial Co,. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ZJK Industrial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ZJK Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZJK Industrial Co,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.397.7929.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.357.0328.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ZJK Industrial

For every potential investor in ZJK, whether a beginner or expert, ZJK Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZJK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZJK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZJK Industrial's price trends.

ZJK Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZJK Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZJK Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZJK Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZJK Industrial Co, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZJK Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZJK Industrial's current price.

ZJK Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZJK Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZJK Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZJK Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZJK Industrial Co, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZJK Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZJK Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZJK Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zjk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether ZJK Industrial Co, is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ZJK Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Zjk Industrial Co, Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Zjk Industrial Co, Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZJK Industrial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Construction Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZJK Industrial. If investors know ZJK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZJK Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ZJK Industrial Co, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZJK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZJK Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZJK Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZJK Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZJK Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZJK Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZJK Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZJK Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.