Parker Drilling Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

PKDCDelisted Stock  USD 7.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Parker Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 7.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.39. Parker Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Parker Drilling stock prices and determine the direction of Parker Drilling's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parker Drilling's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Parker Drilling is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Parker Drilling value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Parker Drilling Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Parker Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 7.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parker Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parker Drilling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Parker Drilling Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parker Drilling pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parker Drilling pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.4822
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.145
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0215
SAESum of the absolute errors7.3946
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Parker Drilling. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Parker Drilling. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Parker Drilling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parker Drilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Parker Drilling's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.107.107.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.805.807.81
Details

Parker Drilling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parker Drilling pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parker Drilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parker Drilling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Parker Drilling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parker Drilling pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parker Drilling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parker Drilling pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Parker Drilling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Parker Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Parker Drilling check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Parker Drilling's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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