Mobix Labs Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MOBX Stock   1.79  0.02  1.10%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mobix Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 1.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.12. Mobix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Mobix Labs' Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to rise to 21.82 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 3.03 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 11.5 M in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Mobix Labs' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
80.1 K
Current Value
76.1 K
Quarterly Volatility
415.9 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Mobix Labs is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mobix Labs value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mobix Labs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mobix Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 1.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mobix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mobix Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mobix Labs Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mobix Labs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mobix Labs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mobix Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered Mobix Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.79
1.82
Expected Value
15.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mobix Labs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mobix Labs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7007
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1054
SAESum of the absolute errors7.116
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mobix Labs. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mobix Labs. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mobix Labs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobix Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8115.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.3315.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mobix Labs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mobix Labs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mobix Labs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mobix Labs.

Other Forecasting Options for Mobix Labs

For every potential investor in Mobix, whether a beginner or expert, Mobix Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mobix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mobix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mobix Labs' price trends.

Mobix Labs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mobix Labs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mobix Labs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mobix Labs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mobix Labs Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mobix Labs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mobix Labs' current price.

Mobix Labs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mobix Labs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mobix Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mobix Labs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mobix Labs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mobix Labs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mobix Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mobix Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mobix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Mobix Stock Analysis

When running Mobix Labs' price analysis, check to measure Mobix Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobix Labs is operating at the current time. Most of Mobix Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobix Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobix Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobix Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.