Fortis 1St Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FTS-PF Preferred Stock | CAD 21.00 0.02 0.1% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fortis 1St Cum on the next trading day is expected to be 21.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.22. Fortis Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fortis 1St stock prices and determine the direction of Fortis 1St Cum's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fortis 1St's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Fortis |
Fortis 1St Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fortis 1St Cum on the next trading day is expected to be 21.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fortis Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fortis 1St's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fortis 1St Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fortis 1St | Fortis 1St Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fortis 1St Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fortis 1St's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fortis 1St's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.75 and 21.90, respectively. We have considered Fortis 1St's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fortis 1St preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fortis 1St preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7505 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1004 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0047 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.223 |
Predictive Modules for Fortis 1St
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortis 1St Cum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Fortis 1St
For every potential investor in Fortis, whether a beginner or expert, Fortis 1St's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortis Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortis 1St's price trends.Fortis 1St Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortis 1St preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortis 1St could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortis 1St by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fortis 1St Cum Technical and Predictive Analytics
The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fortis 1St's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fortis 1St's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fortis 1St Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortis 1St preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortis 1St shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortis 1St preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortis 1St Cum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fortis 1St Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fortis 1St's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortis 1St's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortis preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4445 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5716 | |||
| Variance | 0.3267 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Fortis 1St
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fortis 1St position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fortis 1St will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Fortis Preferred Stock
Moving against Fortis Preferred Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fortis 1St could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fortis 1St when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fortis 1St - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fortis 1St Cum to buy it.
The correlation of Fortis 1St is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fortis 1St moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fortis 1St Cum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fortis 1St can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Fortis Preferred Stock
Fortis 1St financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fortis Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fortis with respect to the benefits of owning Fortis 1St security.