Adomos SA Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ALADO Stock  EUR 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Adomos SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000013 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008. Adomos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Adomos SA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Adomos SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Adomos SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Adomos SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000013, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adomos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adomos SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Adomos SA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Adomos SAAdomos SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Adomos SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Adomos SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Adomos SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 14.06, respectively. We have considered Adomos SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
14.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adomos SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adomos SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria97.6129
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.047
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Adomos SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Adomos SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Adomos SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adomos SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000214.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000214.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Adomos SA

For every potential investor in Adomos, whether a beginner or expert, Adomos SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adomos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adomos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adomos SA's price trends.

Adomos SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adomos SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adomos SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adomos SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Adomos SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Adomos SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Adomos SA's current price.

Adomos SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adomos SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adomos SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adomos SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adomos SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Adomos SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Adomos SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adomos SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adomos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Adomos Stock Analysis

When running Adomos SA's price analysis, check to measure Adomos SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adomos SA is operating at the current time. Most of Adomos SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adomos SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adomos SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adomos SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.