Sk Biopharmaceutica Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Sk Biopharmaceutica is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sk Biopharmaceuticals Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sk Biopharmaceutica Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sk Biopharmaceuticals Co on the next trading day is expected to be 97,909 with a mean absolute deviation of 2,519, mean absolute percentage error of 9,508,763, and the sum of the absolute errors of 156,203.

Sk Biopharmaceutica Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sk Biopharmaceutica Price Prediction

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Sk Biopharmaceutica Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sk Biopharmaceutica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sk Biopharmaceutica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sk Biopharmaceuticals Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sk Biopharmaceutica. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sk Biopharmaceutica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sk Biopharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 103,297 103,300 103,303 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 89,856 89,859 113,630 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sk Biopharmaceutica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sk Biopharmaceutica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sk Biopharmaceutica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sk Biopharmaceuticals.

Other Forecasting Options for Sk Biopharmaceutica

For every potential investor in 326030, whether a beginner or expert, Sk Biopharmaceutica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 326030 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 326030. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sk Biopharmaceutica's price trends.

Sk Biopharmaceutica Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Sk Biopharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sk Biopharmaceutica's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sk Biopharmaceutica's current price.

Sk Biopharmaceutica Market Strength Events

Sk Biopharmaceutica Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with Sk Biopharmaceutica

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sk Biopharmaceutica position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sk Biopharmaceutica will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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