Synchrony Swiss Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P0000KA0A   122.68  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Synchrony Swiss Real on the next trading day is expected to be 121.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.97. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Synchrony Swiss' fund prices and determine the direction of Synchrony Swiss Real's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A naive forecasting model for Synchrony Swiss is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Synchrony Swiss Real value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Synchrony Swiss Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Synchrony Swiss Real on the next trading day is expected to be 121.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Synchrony Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Synchrony Swiss' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Synchrony Swiss Fund Forecast Pattern

Synchrony Swiss Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Synchrony Swiss' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Synchrony Swiss' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 120.78 and 121.72, respectively. We have considered Synchrony Swiss' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
122.68
120.78
Downside
121.25
Expected Value
121.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Synchrony Swiss fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Synchrony Swiss fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1939
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4913
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors29.9688
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Synchrony Swiss Real. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Synchrony Swiss. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Synchrony Swiss

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchrony Swiss Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Synchrony Swiss

For every potential investor in Synchrony, whether a beginner or expert, Synchrony Swiss' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Synchrony Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Synchrony. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Synchrony Swiss' price trends.

Synchrony Swiss Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Synchrony Swiss fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Synchrony Swiss could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Synchrony Swiss by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Synchrony Swiss Real Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Synchrony Swiss' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Synchrony Swiss' current price.

Synchrony Swiss Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Synchrony Swiss fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Synchrony Swiss shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Synchrony Swiss fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Synchrony Swiss Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Synchrony Swiss Risk Indicators

The analysis of Synchrony Swiss' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Synchrony Swiss' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting synchrony fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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