Xp Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XP Stock  USD 14.67  0.78  5.62%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xp Inc is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Xp Inc within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Xp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xp and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Xp Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Xp Buy or Sell Advice

The Xp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xp Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xp Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell XpBuy Xp
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Xp Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0568, Jensen Alpha of 0.213, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5455, Sortino Ratio of 0.106 and Treynor Ratio of 0.246
Our trade recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Xp Inc and to analyze the firm potential to grow next year. To make sure Xp Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Xp Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, working capital, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Xp Inc has a number of shares shorted of 16.33 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Xp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Xp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Xp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Xp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xp Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xp.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-2.96
Potential Upside
4.84
Standard Deviation
2.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Xp Stock Institutional Investors

The Xp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Xp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2024-12-31
5.6 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
M
Sands Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.9 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.5 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.4 M
Seafarer Capital Partners, Llc2024-12-31
4.1 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.7 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
3.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
45.2 M
Dodge & Cox2024-12-31
43.2 M
Note, although Xp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xp Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash1.8B1.1B1.2B4.2B3.7B3.9B
Free Cash Flow1.2B(4.4B)1.7B7.9B11.0B11.6B
Other Non Cash Items55.3M179.2M426.7M(21.5M)1.5B1.5B
Capital Expenditures291.5M353.0M127.0M196.2M144.8M138.2M
Net Income2.4B3.8B3.4B3.9B4.5B4.7B
End Period Cash Flow2.7B3.8B5.0B9.2B12.9B13.6B
Depreciation143.3M231.7M205.9M252.4M265.3M278.6M
Dividends Paid325M500M0.03.5B2.0B2.1B
Change To Netincome144.4M174.2M733.6M185.1M212.9M173.9M
Investments(582.0M)(1.2B)(371.3M)473.3M426.0M447.3M
Net Borrowings264.9M(617.6M)5.5B1.6B1.9B1.2B

Xp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xp or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xp stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
2.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Xp Volatility Alert

Xp Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Xp Implied Volatility

Xp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xp Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xp's options are near their expiration.

Xp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Xp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Xp to competition
FundamentalsXpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.0151-0.14
Profit Margin0.28 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.2 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding434.05 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.65 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted16.33 M4.71 M
Price To Earning14.35 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue16.25 B9.43 B
Gross Profit11.19 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.55 B3.9 B
Net Income4.51 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents98.87 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share178.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt27.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.36 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.18 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.41 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth112.40 X4.89 X
Target Price17.48
Beta1.61-0.15
Market Capitalization7.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset347.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings19.45 B9.33 B
Working Capital(26.61 B)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.05 %

Xp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Xp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Xp Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Xp Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Xp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Size And Style ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Size And Style ETFs
Size And Style ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Size And Style ETFs theme has 1205 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Size And Style ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Xp Stock Analysis

When running Xp's price analysis, check to measure Xp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xp is operating at the current time. Most of Xp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.