Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VUSFX Fund  USD 20.08  0.01  0.05%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vanguard Ultra-short-term Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Vanguard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Vanguard Ultra-short-term Buy or Sell Advice

The Vanguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vanguard Ultra-short-term's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vanguard Ultra-short-termBuy Vanguard Ultra-short-term
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

ExcellentDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond has a Mean Deviation of 0.0324, Standard Deviation of 0.0373, Variance of 0.0014, Downside Variance of 0.0029, Semi Variance of (0.02) and Expected Short fall of (0.06)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Vanguard Ultra-short-term. It analyzes the fund potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. Please use Vanguard Ultra-short-term total asset and net asset to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Vanguard Ultra-short-term.

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vanguard is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund keeps about 6.6% of its net assets in cash

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vanguard Ultra-short-term's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vanguard Ultra-short-term's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vanguard Ultra-short-term daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vanguard Ultra-short-term returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vanguard Ultra-short-term.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-0.05
Potential Upside
0.05
Standard Deviation
0.04
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vanguard Ultra-short-term historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard Ultra-short-term or Vanguard sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard Ultra-short-term's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0036
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 3.20

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Volatility Alert

Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of -0.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanguard Ultra-short-term's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanguard Ultra-short-term's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vanguard Ultra-short-term's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vanguard Ultra-short-term's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vanguard Ultra-short-term and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vanguard Ultra-short-term or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Ultra-short-term's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Ultra-short-term by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vanguard Ultra-short-term to competition
FundamentalsVanguard Ultra-short-termPeer Average
Annual Yield0.0001 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return1.00 %0.39 %
One Year Return5.80 %4.15 %
Three Year Return4.23 %3.60 %
Five Year Return2.65 %3.24 %
Net Asset4.94 B4.11 B
Minimum Initial Investment50 K976.16 K
Last Dividend Paid0.010.65
Cash Position Weight6.60 %10.61 %
Bond Positions Weight88.59 %11.24 %

Vanguard Ultra-short-term Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vanguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vanguard Ultra-short-term Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vanguard Ultra Short Term Bond? Buying financial instruments such as Vanguard Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vanguard Ultra-short-term in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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