Vardhman Special (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VSSL Stock   229.64  5.56  2.36%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vardhman Special Steels is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vardhman Special Steels given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vardhman Special Steels, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vardhman Special Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vardhman and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vardhman Special Steels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Vardhman Special Buy or Sell Advice

The Vardhman recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vardhman Special Steels. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vardhman Special Steels or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vardhman Special's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vardhman SpecialBuy Vardhman Special
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Vardhman Special Steels has a Mean Deviation of 1.5, Standard Deviation of 2.02 and Variance of 4.08
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vardhman Special Steels to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vardhman Special Steels. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vardhman Special Steels is not overpriced, please validate all Vardhman Special fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, total debt, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and net income .

Vardhman Special Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vardhman Special generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vardhman Special is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vardhman Special Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vardhman Special's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vardhman Special's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vardhman Special daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vardhman Special Steels price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vardhman Special returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vardhman Special.
Mean Return
-0.33
Value At Risk
-4.4
Potential Upside
2.75
Standard Deviation
2.02
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vardhman Special historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vardhman Special Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(404.8M)(1.1B)(583.6M)65.1M58.6M61.5M
Change In Cash369K(20.7M)92.6M(18.9M)(17.1M)(16.2M)
Free Cash Flow777.6M235.8M447.9M744.4M856.1M898.9M
Depreciation302.3M269.6M281.2M309.8M356.3M197.3M
Other Non Cash Items150.0M101.9M163.5M154.7M177.9M153.1M
Capital Expenditures94.8M353.0M287.9M679.6M611.7M330.6M
Net Income663.8M1.6B1.3B916.3M1.1B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow23.4M2.7M95.4M76.4M68.8M105.6M
Investments52.0M(152.8M)(148.3M)(501.4M)(451.3M)(428.7M)
Net Borrowings(689.8M)(755.1M)(288.6M)(183.0M)(164.7M)(172.9M)
Change To Netincome195.8M140.9M327.3M459.1M528.0M554.4M

Vardhman Special Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vardhman Special or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vardhman Special's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vardhman stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Vardhman Special Volatility Alert

Vardhman Special Steels exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.11 and kurtosis of 0.88. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vardhman Special's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vardhman Special's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vardhman Special Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vardhman Special's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vardhman Special's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vardhman Special and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vardhman Special or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vardhman Special's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vardhman Special by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vardhman Special to competition
FundamentalsVardhman SpecialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0883-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.76 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding81.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders74.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.12 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.07 X11.42 X
Revenue16.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.59 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.71 B3.9 B
Net Income916.28 M570.98 M
Total Debt837.06 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share92.77 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.42 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share13.01 X3.12 X
Target Price212.5
Number Of Employees1.25 K18.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization18.77 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.4 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings5.3 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.84 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset10.4 B

Vardhman Special Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vardhman . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vardhman Special Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vardhman Special Steels? Buying financial instruments such as Vardhman Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Vardhman Stock Analysis

When running Vardhman Special's price analysis, check to measure Vardhman Special's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vardhman Special is operating at the current time. Most of Vardhman Special's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vardhman Special's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vardhman Special's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vardhman Special to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.